Bitcoin Spot Relative Volume Decline Signals Potential Reaccumulation Phase as Long Squeeze Eases
2026-06-17 12:02

Woofun AI analysis suggests that market focus should shift from absolute Bitcoin spot trading volume to spot relative trading volume, defined as spot volume divided by the 30-day moving average. This metric gauges activity levels against historical baselines but requires contextual interpretation alongside price structure rather than serving as a standalone directional indicator.

Structurally, Bitcoin retested its February lows in June with significantly lower relative volume, implying diminished selling pressure during this second test of similar price levels. Such a pattern of price retracing lows on declining volume is typically interpreted as temporary exhaustion of sell-side momentum.

Concurrently, derivatives market dynamics have evolved since April; initial negative funding rates triggered short squeezes and price bounces, but by mid-May, rates turned significantly positive, marking the end of the rebound and the onset of a retracement. Currently, funding rates have normalized, indicating that downward pressure from overcrowded long positions is waning and the long-short balance is stabilizing. While spot demand remains weak, decreasing marginal selling pressure and reduced leverage impact suggest the market is transitioning toward an 'oscillating accumulation' phase, mirroring the operational rhythm of the previous two to three months, albeit without clear trend reversal signals.

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BTC
Murphy
Bitcoin
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