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Monitored by Woofun AI, a trader identified by wallet address 0xf08c827f deployed an $181 position on Polymarket regarding the release of the next Google Gemini Pro model by June 30, 2026. The entry was executed at an average probability of 17.6%, capitalizing on a significant market shift as the current 'Yes' probability now stands at 82.5%. This participant maintains a flawless 100% win rate across five Google-related trades, generating a net profit of $1,000, with three positions involving purchases below $0.8 and sales above $0.95.
Market definitions clarify that models such as Gemini 3.2 Pro, Gemini 3.5 Pro, and Gemini 4.0 Pro Preview qualify for settlement, whereas Flash, Live, or internal testing variants do not. Contextual data indicates that following the May 19 launch of Gemini 3.5 Flash, Google stated Gemini 3.5 Pro was in internal use with a planned launch 'next month.' Business Insider reported that Sundar Pichai suggested a June release window at the I/O event.
However, the Gemini API currently lists only Gemini 3.5 Flash and Gemini 3.1 Pro as stable or public models.
Concurrently, Business Insider confirmed on June 18 that Noam Shazeer, co-lead of Gemini and co-founder of Character.AI, has departed Google to join OpenAI.