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Per Woofun AI, Federal Reserve officials signaled a potential pivot toward raising interest rates rather than cutting them, driven by persistent inflationary pressures. Evercore ISI analyst Krishna Guha noted that while declining energy prices may offer temporary relief, the interest rate outlook has decoupled from oil markets. He highlighted two enduring inflationary drivers: the continued pass-through effect of tariffs and cost spillovers stemming from the artificial intelligence infrastructure investment frenzy.
New Century Advisors Chief Economist Claudia Sam observed that traditional triggers for Fed intervention, such as an overheated labor market or unanchored inflation expectations, remain absent.
However, she acknowledged that the rationale for action is accumulating, suggesting the Fed may act faster than during the pandemic-era surge because policy debates are already underway.