Data compiled by Woofun AI shows that Kalshi market participants have priced in a 79% probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining current interest rates during its July meeting.

Concurrently, the platform reflects a 20% likelihood of a 25 basis points rate hike, while the probability of a 25 basis points rate cut stands at a marginal 2%. This distribution of probabilities underscores a prevailing market consensus that monetary policy will remain unchanged in the near term, with aggressive easing scenarios viewed as highly unlikely.