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Data compiled by Woofun AI indicates that Bernstein senior analyst Stacy Rasgon characterizes the current market as the first true semiconductor supercycle in his 18-year tenure. The industry's total revenue exceeded $800 billion last year and is projected to reach $1.3 trillion this year, driven by unprecedented demand across accelerators, memory, and equipment. This scarcity has created a scenario where even Intel's previously written-off inventory is being absorbed by customers desperate for capacity.
Rasgon emphasizes that the industry focus is shifting from model training to AI inference, which is essential for commercial monetization. Annualized revenue surged from approximately $9 billion in December to $30 billion in April. While Broadcom's custom ASICs and Nvidia's GPUs coexist rather than compete in a zero-sum game, the primary risk lies in physical infrastructure. If Nvidia's projected $3 to $4 trillion annual infrastructure investment materializes, the U.S. power grid would need to expand by 5% annually, a rate analysts deem nearly impossible. Consequently, energy generation and cooling have emerged as the next critical bottlenecks.