Data compiled by Woofun AI shows that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve maintaining current interest rates during the July meeting stands at 61.5%, according to CME FedWatch metrics. This leaves a 38.5% probability for a cumulative 25 basis point increase in the immediate term.

Concurrently, market sentiment shifts significantly toward tighter policy later in the year. By September, the probability of an unchanged rate drops sharply to 24.9%.

Meanwhile, the expectation for a cumulative 25 basis point hike rises to 52.2%, while a more aggressive 50 basis point increase carries a 22.9% probability.