Fed July Rate Hold Probability Surges Past Sixty Percent Amid Market Shift
2026-06-22 15:33

Data compiled by Woofun AI shows that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady at its July meeting has climbed to 61.5%. Conversely, the probability of a rate cut has retreated to approximately 38.5%, according to the latest readings from CME's FedWatch Tool.

This divergence in probabilities reflects a recalibration of market expectations regarding monetary policy. The increased odds of a status quo outcome suggest that investors are pricing in a more cautious approach by the central bank, potentially dampening near-term volatility associated with rate cut speculation.

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