Woofun AI data shows that Galaxy Research has adjusted the probability of the CLARITY Act passing in 2026 down to 50%, a decrease from the 60% estimate recorded three weeks prior. This revision stems from the absence of a consolidated bill text, undefined voting arrangements, and unclear leadership commitments ahead of the Senate recess.

The legislation previously secured approval from the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 with a 15-to-9 vote. Currently ranked 423rd on the Senate’s legislative agenda, no plenary debate has been scheduled. Galaxy indicates that without a definitive timeline by early July, passage likelihood will decline further, potentially delaying enactment until after September, especially as mid-term elections complicate scheduling for controversial measures.