Woofun AI data shows that wallet 0x993f451b wagered $10.4k on the Polymarket prediction regarding an Arc token launch by December 31, 2026, with an average entry probability of 66.8%. The current "Yes" probability stands at 58.5%. This account has achieved a 79% win rate across 14 settled trades in the Token Launch category, generating a net profit of $60.5k.

Polymarket rules require Arc to formally launch a publicly available, actively transferable, and tradable governance token by 11:59 PM EST on December 31, 2026. Mere announcements or private sales do not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Arc, a Circle-backed Layer 1 blockchain focusing on USDC as gas, launched its public testnet last October and anticipates a mainnet beta in 2026.