Fed July Hold Probability Stands at 70.1% While September Hike Odds Climb
2026-06-30 06:02

Woofun AI data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining current interest rates in July is 70.1%, with a 29.9% chance of a 25 basis point increase. Market expectations shift for September, where the likelihood of unchanged rates falls to 37.2%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point hike by September rises to 48.8%, while a 50 basis point increase holds at 14.1%.

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FedWatch
CME
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