RBC Raises S&P 500 Target to 8150, Warns of Volatility and Rate Hike Risks
2026-06-30 17:18

Woofun AI reports that Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, increased the 12-month target for the S&P 500 Index by 250 points to 8150. This adjustment implies a 10.8% upside from last Friday's closing level, driven by positive earnings per share and valuation expectations. Calvasina projects adjusted earnings per share for the trailing four quarters will reach $337 by next year's first quarter.

The strategist maintains that while the market trend is upward, the path will not be linear. Conservative model assumptions highlight unavoidable volatility, with the primary risk identified as the Federal Reserve restarting rate hikes. CME Group's "FedWatch" tool indicates a 64% probability of a rate increase at the September meeting.

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Lori Calvasina
Royal Bank of Canada
RBC Capital Markets
CME Group
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