Woofun AI reports that Polymarket has initiated a new prediction event regarding whether Tesla will launch a Robotaxi service in California before December 31, 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" only if Tesla offers a public autonomous taxi service in the state without continuous human driver intervention by the deadline; otherwise, it resolves to "No."

Tesla’s autonomous driving progress varies by region, with more aggressive unmanned testing occurring in areas like Texas. In California, operations remain constrained by strict regulations from the DMV and CPUC, requiring multi-stage approvals for commercial autonomous driving. Currently, Tesla is limited to supervised features and lacks a license for fully unmanned commercial operations, leading to high uncertainty for deployment in the state compared to regions with lenient rules.