Woofun AI data shows that Michael Burry achieved an 82% success rate on 11 disclosed bearish options over the past two years. His strategy yielded eight successful shorts in non-AI and Chinese concept stocks, including Alibaba and JD.com, while AI-related positions struggled with only a 33% hit rate. Nvidia emerged as the primary failure, rising 46% in Q1 2025 despite Burry’s bearish stance. Palantir also underperformed, dropping just 2.9% in Q3 2025.

Burry recently expanded his AI short exposure, targeting Tesla, Applied Materials, Caterpillar, and the SOXX ETF. He cited South Korea’s semiconductor investment plan as signaling the "beginning of the end" for the AI boom. Despite maintaining a bearish view on Nvidia and betting on SOXX declines, 13F filings lack option premium details, meaning directional accuracy does not guarantee actual profitability.