Fed July Rate Hold Probability Hits 73.3% While September Hike Odds Reach 52.7%
2026-07-08 06:33

Woofun AI data shows that CME FedWatch currently prices in a 73.3% probability for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates unchanged during its July meeting, with a 26.7% likelihood of a 25 basis point cumulative increase.

By September, market expectations shift significantly, assigning a 52.7% probability to a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike, while the chance of rates remaining steady drops to 32.4% and a 50 basis point increase sits at 14.9%.

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