Fed July Hold Odds Hit 74.9% While September Hike Probability Surges to 51.1%
2026-07-10 06:06

Woofun AI data shows that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve maintaining current interest rates in July stands at 74.9%, according to CME FedWatch calculations. The probability of a 25 basis point cumulative rate increase in July is recorded at 25.1%.

By September, market pricing reflects a 51.1% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike, while the odds of rates remaining unchanged drop to 35.7%. A cumulative 50 basis point increase in September carries a 13.1% probability.

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