June CPI Drops 0.4% as Perfect-Record Whale Bets on Unchanged July Rates
2026-07-15 11:43

Woofun AI data shows that U.S. June CPI declined 0.4% month-over-month, with year-over-year growth slowing to 3.5% and core CPI falling to 2.6%, both missing market expectations. Consequently, CME FedWatch data indicates the probability of a July rate hike dropped to 10-16%, while odds of maintaining the 3.75% upper limit exceeded 80%. On Polymarket, address 0x8b4bca1d placed a $109.1k bet on the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged after the July meeting, achieving a 100% success rate across 10 prior settled trades in this category. Although Fed officials cautioned against overinterpreting single-month data, the latest readings have reduced immediate tightening urgency, shifting focus toward potential September action.

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