Woofun AI data shows that Polymarket traders increased the likelihood of the CLARITY Act being signed into law within the current year to 35% on July 17, a recovery from a 24% low recorded on July 13. The contract previously peaked at 74% in May before declining to 48% in June due to prolonged negotiations.

Senate Republicans intend to publish the final text of the CLARITY Act following discussions with US President Donald Trump, with Senator Bernie Moreno indicating that Senate floor consideration is targeted for the week of July 20. The legislation requires 60 votes for passage; with Republicans holding 53 seats, at least seven Democratic votes are necessary. Democratic negotiators assert that the draft submitted to the chamber differs from the agreed version, citing disputes over ethics clauses related to Trump's business interests in the crypto industry.