Woofun AI data shows that Polymarket odds for the CLARITY Act passing by end-2026 have fallen to 32%, marking a new all-time low since the market's January launch. This represents a 30 percentage point drop from inception and a sharp retreat from the 82% peak recorded in February.

The decline stems from Senate legislative gridlock and unresolved bipartisan disagreements over ethical provisions regarding government officials' conflicts of interest. Senator Ruben Gallego stated he will withhold support unless these provisions are included. With Congress entering its August recess, expectations for immediate legislation continue to diminish.