Polymarket Clarity Act 2026 Pass Probability Drops to 42.5% After Ethics Waiver News
2026-07-21 19:36

Woofun AI data shows that two experienced prediction market traders allocated a combined $2,300 to the outcome that the "Clarity Act" will not be signed into law in 2026. Address 0x4a2be7a7, with a 39% win rate in politics, invested $1,300, while address 0xdc4f0872, boasting a 76% win rate, contributed $1,000. The current 'Yes' probability stands at 42.5%, down from an average buy-in of 66.4%.

This betting activity follows reports that the White House agreed to include ethics provisions in the "CLARITY Act", potentially removing a major political obstacle.

However, the final text remains unpublished and unconfirmed by Democrats. The bill, which passed the House in July 2025, aims to define regulatory boundaries between the SEC and CFTC for digital assets.

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