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Woofun AI data shows that Bitcoin’s 1-week actual volatility 30-day average fell to 28.3, a 31% decline from the June 25 peak of 41.6. This places current levels at the 8th percentile of historical distribution since 2016, meaning 92% of past trading days exhibited higher volatility.
Market leverage continues to decrease, with Open Interest relative to market cap showing negative momentum for 21 consecutive days. Although Bitcoin rebounded 11.4% from June lows, derivative positions did not expand, lowering cascade liquidation risks. The asset remains below the $72,666 200-day moving average, where rising volatility above 35 without a breakout could heighten downside pressure.