Woofun AI reports that Signum Global Advisors utilizes a quant model tracking Brent crude, Treasury yields, Hormuz traffic, and the S&P 500 to forecast a potential adjustment in Trump's Iran stance. The analysis suggests a policy pivot could occur between July 22 and July 30, with July 26 identified as the most probable date, contingent on market moves reaching a 2.9 standard deviation threshold.

Brent crude has surpassed $91 per barrel while U.S. gasoline prices exceed $4 per gallon, intensifying political scrutiny. Republican insiders warn that sustained high energy costs may undermine voter support ahead of midterm elections, increasing pressure on the administration to balance escalation with de-escalation strategies.