Woofun AI reports that Nick Timiraos identified the upcoming July FOMC session as exceptionally difficult to forecast due to rising oil prices and US tariff uncertainties. While markets anticipate the policy rate will remain at 3.50% to 3.75% on July 28-29, internal consensus is fracturing as some officials advocate for future rate increases. UBS economist Jonathan Pingle highlighted Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh as a pivotal figure in shaping the final policy direction amid these divergent views.