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Woofun AI reports that Jiang Zhuo'er, founder of B.TOP Mining Pool, assessed the likelihood of the CLARITY Act passing at only 10% to 20%. The primary obstacle involves conflicting ethical provisions: the proposal accepted by Trump restricts cryptocurrency issuance participation to the president and spouse, whereas the Democratic Party demands inclusion of other family members and entities.
Furthermore, enforcement authority remains unresolved, with Trump favoring U.S. Department of Justice prosecution while Democrats seek expanded powers for state attorneys general.
Jiang Zhuo'er noted that Trump lacks motivation to sign the bill if forced to accept Democratic restrictions. With Congress adjourning on August 7th, the remaining ten working days are insufficient to reconcile these differences. Subsequent reconvening from September 14th to October 5th coincides with midterm election preparations and budget debates, further diminishing political incentive for passage.