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Woofun AI reports that a definitive bear market bottom for Bitcoin remains elusive according to Rekt Capital, who argues the asset has not yet completed its necessary correction phase. The analyst posits that structural patterns from previous cycles are still actively unfolding rather than concluding.
In a detailed YouTube analysis, Rekt Capital mapped the current macro downtrend to a breakout from a descending triangle pattern, a technical formation historically linked to prolonged corrections. While approximately 270 days have elapsed since the early 2025 peak, Woofun AI data shows that prior bear market cycles typically required around 365 days to establish a definitive floor. This temporal gap implies the market may still be several months away from a genuine turning point.
Direct comparisons to the 2022 cycle reveal shared characteristics in price action and sentiment, yet a critical divergence remains in the depth of market capitulation. Rekt Capital noted that the severe selling pressure seen in late 2022, which drove Bitcoin to a floor near $15,500, has not yet materialized in the current environment. Without this final stage of panic selling, the analyst asserts that the correction is structurally incomplete.
For long-term holders and traders, this outlook serves as a stark warning against anticipating a rapid V-shaped recovery. Rekt Capital's track record of accurately identifying previous market turning points lends significant weight to the current caution regarding extended timelines. Participants expecting an immediate rebound may need to fundamentally adjust their strategic expectations.
The prevailing view indicates that despite significant corrections from 2025 highs, the path to stability involves continued volatility and potential for lower prices in the coming months. Investors must remain prepared for these fluctuations while acknowledging the inherent uncertainty in all market predictions. As always, market participants are advised to conduct their own research before making investment decisions.