Woofun AI reports that the likelihood of the CLARITY Act being formally enacted in 2026 has declined to a historic low, reversing earlier bullish sentiment. Market expectations for the bill’s passage peaked at 82% earlier in the year but have eroded as negotiations encountered multiple deadlocks.

Core obstacles include disagreements over ethics clauses, resistance from banking lobbying groups regarding stablecoin interest payment provisions, and a constrained congressional schedule ahead of midterm elections. Despite broad industry support for the comprehensive digital asset regulatory framework, traders anticipate these unresolved conflicts will prevent the bill from completing the legislative process within 2026.