Bitcoin Options Implied Volatility Drops Below 40% for Third Time This Year
2026-07-20 16:14

Woofun AI notes that Bitcoin options implied volatility has reached extremely low levels, with 1-week IV at 33% and 1-month IV at 34%, both under the 40% historical average. Analyst Murphy highlighted two prior instances this year where IV dipped below 40%, followed by significant BTC price drops: from $97,000 to $62,000 in January and from $82,000 to $60,000 in April. A subsequent decline saw BTC fall from $66,000 to $58,000 after June 15th.

Murphy attributed the low IV to market consensus, volatility arbitrage fund accumulation, and market makers' short gamma mechanisms, which amplify the impact of unexpected events. He advised contract traders to prepare for potential significant volatility.

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BTC
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