Woofun AI data shows that Polymarket probability for any US state issuing a data center moratorium this year stands at 79%. Although New York Governor Kathy Hochul signed Executive Order 62 on July 14 to pause permits for facilities of 50 megawatts or more, the market distinguishes between executive actions and formal legislation. The event requires a bill passed by the state legislature and duly enacted, excluding executive orders or local bans. Consequently, the Responsible Data Center Siting Act, which covers projects of 20 megawatts or more, must still be signed by the governor to satisfy the settlement conditions. Opposition from New York's construction industry and Republicans argues the pause may divert AI investment and tax revenue to other states.