Polymarket Data Shows 17% Probability of ETH Reaching $3,000 by 2026

Prediction market data indicates a 17% likelihood for ETH to hit $3,000 by 2026, with $9M volume in price contracts and 83% probability for $2,000.

Woofun AI data shows that Polymarket contracts regarding Ethereum's price trajectory in 2026 have generated nearly $9 million in trading volume. Market participants assign an 83% probability to ETH reaching $2,000, a 56% chance for $2,500, a 12% likelihood for $3,500, and under 4% for $5,000. A separate contract asking whether ETH will hit $1,000 or $3,000 first recorded $95,300 in volume, pricing the $3,000 outcome at 50 cents. This market utilizes Binance’s ETH/USDT one-minute K-line data for settlement, with expiration on December 31, 2026.

Additional Polymarket data reveals a $2.3 million volume for contracts tracking if ETH will achieve a new all-time high, with traders estimating a 6% chance by year-end and 1% by September 30. Parallel markets on Kalshi indicate traders assess a 15% probability of ETH exceeding $3,500, 12% for $3,750, and 10% for $4,000 within the current year.