Bullish

Bitcoin LTH Holdings Hit ATH 16.3M BTC With Low Unrealized Profit

2026-07-26 21:20:11

Bitcoin long-term holder supply peaks at 16.3M BTC, yet unrealized profit sits at just 30% versus 340% in Jan 2025, signaling potential volatility risks.

Woofun AI data shows that Bitcoin long-term holder (LTH) balances have climbed to a new all-time high, surpassing 16.3 million BTC. Despite this accumulation, the average cost basis stands at approximately $49,400, resulting in an unrealized profit of only about 30% at current prices. This figure contrasts sharply with the roughly 340% net unrealized profit recorded in January 2025.

Analyst Darkfost highlighted that during the previous bear market's end, LTHs faced approximately 20% unrealized losses before a deeper correction occurred. While historical patterns do not guarantee future outcomes, the current low profit margin suggests the market may remain susceptible to further drawdowns that could push holders back into negative equity.

WOOFUN AI

Impact Assessment · Quick Read

The divergence between record-high LTH accumulation and compressed profit margins indicates strong conviction but limited immediate sell-side pressure from long-term holders. However, the proximity to historical loss thresholds raises the risk of capitulation if prices decline further. Investors should monitor whether this accumulation phase stabilizes support or precedes a deeper correction similar to prior cycles.
Generated by WOOFUN AI · For reference only, not investment advice

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