Trader Bets $139K on Fed Rate Hold as Market Probability Drops 13%

High-win-rate address allocates $139K to Polymarket 'Yes' shares for July Fed rate hold, despite market probability falling to 80% from earlier week.

Woofun AI data shows that an address with a 78% historical win rate purchased $139,000 worth of "Yes" shares on Polymarket regarding the Federal Reserve's July 2026 interest rate decision. The transaction involved 175,165.2 shares at an average entry price of 75.5 cents. While the market initially priced a 66.3% chance of a hold versus a 33.7% chance of a 25 basis point hike, the current probability of rates remaining unchanged stands at 80%, reflecting a 13% decline from earlier in the week. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce its decision early on July 30th, Beijing time.