Polymarket US Iran Ceasefire July 24 Yes Probability Drops 22.35% to 13.8%

Polymarket 'Yes' odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by July 24 fell sharply by 22.35 percentage points to 13.8% within an hour, reflecting rapid sentiment shifts.

Woofun AI data shows that on Polymarket, the winning probability for the "Effective Ceasefire Between the U.S. and Iran" event in the "July 24" sub-market declined significantly. The "Yes" option dropped from 36.15% to 13.8% over a one-hour period, marking a 22.35 percentage point decrease.