Bullish

Polymarket Bitcoin July $62,500 Drop Probability Falls 23% to 28%

2026-07-30 11:15:51

Polymarket odds of BTC hitting $62.5k in July drop 23% to 28%. Settlement relies on Binance one-minute candlestick lows, excluding other exchanges.

Woofun AI data shows that the probability of Bitcoin dropping to $62,500 in July on Polymarket has decreased to 28%, representing a 23% decline over the past 24 hours.

The settlement criteria specify that if the lowest price of any one-minute candlestick for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance falls to or below $62,500 during July, the outcome is "Yes". Data from other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded from this determination.

WOOFUN AI

Impact Assessment · Quick Read

The sharp contraction in downside probability suggests traders are pricing out a severe mid-month correction. Since settlement hinges strictly on Binance's one-minute lows, brief wicks could still trigger payouts despite broader market stability. This metric serves as a real-time gauge of retail sentiment regarding near-term support levels.
Generated by WOOFUN AI · For reference only, not investment advice

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