Bullish

Kalshi July Notional Volume Hits $41B, Surpassing Polymarket by 3.22x

2026-08-05 10:26

Prediction market notional volume sets record high in July, with Kalshi leading at $41.05B, significantly outpacing Polymarket's $12.75B and other competitors.

Woofun AI data shows that prediction market notional trading volume achieved a new all-time high in July. Kalshi recorded $41.05 billion in notional volume for the month, securing the top position in the sector. This figure represents approximately 3.22 times the trading volume of Polymarket, which ranked second with $12.75 billion. Rothera placed third with $1.12 billion, followed by Opinion at $880 million and predict.fun at $740 million.

WOOFUN AI

Impact Assessment · Quick Read

Kalshi’s dominant share of July’s notional volume highlights a significant consolidation of liquidity within regulated prediction markets. The substantial gap between the leader and Polymarket suggests shifting user preference or regulatory advantages driving capital flows. This concentration may intensify competition for market share among smaller platforms like Rothera and Opinion.
Generated by WOOFUN AI · For reference only, not investment advice

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