CLARITY Act Law Passage Probability Drops to 16% After Senate Exclusion

Senate Majority Leader John Thune excluded the CLARITY Act from today's agenda, prioritizing other bills. This procedural move reduces the likelihood of the bill becoming law this year to 16% as the August recess approaches.

Woofun AI reports that Senate Majority Leader John Thune filed a motion to proceed on other legislation, effectively removing the Cryptocurrency Market Structure Clarity Act from the current agenda. This procedural decision signals a prioritization of alternative bills and highlights ongoing disagreements regarding the enforcement authority of the bill's ethical provisions.

The legislative window for the CLARITY Act is narrowing as the Senate prepares for its August recess. While the bill previously cleared the Senate Banking Committee, a deadlock persists between Democrats and Republicans over whether enforcement authority should reside with the Attorney General or state attorneys general. Maryland Senator Alsobrooks stated she would not support the bill if enforcement power is limited solely to the Department of Justice. Consequently, the probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law in 2026 has fallen to 16% on prediction market Predict.fun.