Prediction market: Polymarket BTC — ↓$64,000 8% / ↑$66,000 7%

Polymarket data shows the highest probability (8.5%) for BTC dropping to $64,000 by Aug 7, followed by a rise to $66,000 (7.0%), indicating a short-term bearish consensus.

Data from Polymarket shows mixed predictions for Bitcoin’s price on August 7th. The current market consensus leans bearish, with the most likely scenario being a drop to $64,000 (probability 8.5%), followed by an increase to $66,000 (probability 7.0%). The distribution of probabilities across various scenarios indicates that there is still disagreement in the market regarding the exact price level, but the $64,000 scenario receives the most attention.