Bullish

Fed September Rate Hike Probability Drops to 44.4%

2026-08-09 18:12

Market odds for a September 25bp Fed hike fall to 44.4%, while the probability of holding rates steady rises to 55.6% as of August 9.

Woofun AI data shows that the market-assigned probability of the Federal Reserve implementing a 25 basis point interest rate increase in September has declined to 44.4%.

Concurrently, the likelihood of the central bank maintaining current interest rates unchanged stands at 55.6% as of August 9.

WOOFUN AI

Impact Assessment · Quick Read

The shift in probabilities indicates growing market expectation for monetary policy stability rather than tightening. A higher chance of holding rates steady may reduce near-term volatility in rate-sensitive assets. Investors should monitor upcoming economic data for further signals on the Fed's trajectory.
Generated by WOOFUN AI · For reference only, not investment advice

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