Prediction market: Polymarket BTC — ↓$62,500 60% / ↑$67,500 57%

Polymarket data indicates a 60.5% probability of BTC dropping to $62,500 in August, while rises to $67,500 (57%) and $70,000 (30.5%) remain plausible, reflecting market divergence.

Data from Polymarket shows varying forecasts for Bitcoin’s price in August. The market consensus leans bearish, with the most likely price level being $62,500 (60.5% probability), followed by rises to $67,500 (57.0%) or $70,000 (30.5%). Current data indicates that although $62,500 has the highest probability, $67,500 and $70,000 remain highly plausible, suggesting the market has not yet reached a completely unified view on the exact target price.