Polymarket Strait of Hormuz Normalization Odds Drop 12% to 11%

Market probability for Strait of Hormuz stability by Sept 30 falls to 11%. Trump cites secret IRGC talks and threatens Oman, while Iran vows to repel invaders.

Woofun AI data shows that the likelihood of the Strait of Hormuz returning to normal conditions by September 30 on Polymarket has decreased by 12% over the past month, settling at 11%. Donald Trump stated he is 'not in a hurry' to resolve the Iran situation, confirming secret communication channels with Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps officials while warning that the U.S. would bomb Oman if it obstructs American interests.

In response to Trump's prior assertion that the Strait might become U.S. territory following a defeat of Iran, Iranian Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Khatami condemned the remarks as reckless errors. Khatami declared that defenders would 'break the legs of invaders,' emphasizing that the region remains under Iranian control.