XRP Whale Outflows Diverge on Binance and Coinbase Amid $1.05 Support Defense

Woofun AI reports that XRP is currently defending the $1.05 support level, while a compact resistance zone between $1.10 and $1.11 caps upward momentum. This resistance area is formed by the declining 100-day SMA near $1.10 and a broken rising trendline crossing slightly higher at $1.11. A daily close above this zone would expose the horizontal barrier near $1.15, though the 200-day SMA remains considerably higher at approximately $1.21 and is not an immediate test while XRP trades below $1.11.

Momentum indicators reflect the current stagnation, with the Daily RSI standing near 47, close to its signal line and below the neutral 50 level. This positioning signals weak momentum, which aligns with the lack of a sustained move away from the current trading range. The technical structure suggests that buyers are unable to generate sufficient force to break through the overhead resistance, keeping the asset confined within its recent bounds.

Woofun AI data shows divergent transaction patterns on major exchanges, with high-value transfers accounting for most of the daily XRP outflow value on both Binance and Coinbase. On Binance, transfers above one million XRP represented 55.3% of daily outflow value, indicating concentration in the largest transaction group. In contrast, Coinbase saw only 15% of outflows in that category, while transfers between 100,000 and one million XRP made up 55.8%. Combined, transfers above 100,000 XRP represented the majority of activity, highlighting that the mix of large transactions varied significantly between the two platforms.

The interpretation of these withdrawal patterns remains ambiguous, as the data does not reveal whether total exchange balances actually fell or identify the owners and destinations of the transfers. Large withdrawals could reflect investors moving XRP into self-custody, institutions shifting assets between custodians, or exchanges reorganizing internal wallets. Only the first case would clearly reduce immediately available supply and potentially ease short-term selling pressure, thereby tightening the amount of XRP available for sale. If similar large-holder withdrawals continue alongside falling exchange balances, the effect could become more meaningful over time, but current figures show active large transactions rather than proven accumulation.

XRP remains above $1.05, but buyers must clear the $1.10–$1.11 resistance area before the short-term structure improves. Until a decisive break occurs, the market will likely remain range-bound, with the divergence in whale activity providing no clear directional signal. This marks a period of consolidation where technical barriers outweigh speculative inflows.