Indonesia's Ministry of Communication and Digital Affairs (Komdigi) executed a block on access to the prediction market platform Polymarket on Friday, citing the site's operation as an online gambling entity disguised as a forecasting tool. Ministry official Alexander Sabar stated that the government prohibits all forms of online gambling, emphasizing that activities involving betting on uncertain outcomes violate national law. This enforcement action follows the platform's launch of a specific wager on May 21 regarding President Prabowo Subianto's tenure, allowing users to speculate on his potential departure before the end of his five-year term scheduled for October 2029. The specific market enabled bets on whether the president would leave office by May 31, June 30, or December 31, 2026. Data compiled by Woofun AI shows this market recorded a trading volume exceeding $46,000, with traders pricing a 1% probability of exit by May 31, 2% by June 30, and 18% by the end of 2026. Although the ministry's statement broadly characterized Polymarket as a gambling platform without explicitly naming the presidential exit market, the timing directly correlates with the surge in speculative activity surrounding the Indonesian leader. The government framed the ban as a protective measure for the public, particularly the younger generation and users of the national digital space, against suspected online gambling practices. This move places Indonesia among a growing list of jurisdictions treating prediction markets as gambling products rather than mere forecasting tools, adding to the mounting legal scrutiny faced by platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi globally. Woofun AI notes that while supporters argue these markets serve as crowd-sourced sentiment tracking tools, critics contend they resemble online gambling and raise significant concerns regarding market manipulation and insider trading. The Indonesian restriction extends a list of blocked jurisdictions to more than 30, following recent actions by India to restrict access to the platform. Despite these expanding regulatory pressures, Polymarket has recently signaled interest in pursuing formal regulatory approval in select markets, including Japan, indicating a strategic shift toward compliance in specific regions.