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Indonesia's Ministry of Communication and Digital Affairs has officially severed access to Polymarket, classifying the crypto-native prediction platform as a prohibited form of online gambling under domestic statutes. Alexander Sabar, the director general of digital space supervision, asserted that any platform enabling users to wager capital on uncertain outcomes constitutes a gambling product, regardless of the underlying blockchain technology or crypto asset utilization. The ministry confirmed it has already cut off access and is actively tracing affiliated social media accounts to enforce restrictions across other digital channels. Polymarket facilitates trading on contracts linked to real-world events ranging from elections and sports results to crypto price movements and political outcomes, yet regulators in multiple jurisdictions continue to categorize these activities as gambling rather than legitimate financial market operations.
While the Indonesian directive did not explicitly name Kalshi, a U.S.-regulated prediction market operator, the statement indicated that authorities would restrict any similar services facilitating online wagering. This regulatory posture suggests the order could extend to other prediction-market platforms if Indonesian officials determine they allow users to bet on uncertain real-world events. Data compiled by Woofun AI indicates that the ministry specifically cited Singapore, Brazil, and India as nations that have already blocked Polymarket, while Taiwan, Thailand, China, and Japan have imposed varying restrictions under their respective local laws. The platform remains blocked in Ukraine, where no legal pathway currently exists for its re-entry into the market.
This enforcement action in Indonesia follows a broader tightening of regulations on prediction markets across Asia. India recently blocked Polymarket after authorities classified such platforms as prohibited online money gaming, with Kalshi also facing potential scrutiny in the region.
Concurrently, Polymarket is separately seeking approval in Japan by 2030, a market where strict gambling rules limit most forms of betting outside state-sanctioned activities. Woofun AI notes that the divergence between crypto-native innovation and traditional gambling definitions remains a critical friction point for global expansion strategies. The Indonesian regulator urged citizens to avoid accessing or participating in digital betting activities, including markets utilizing crypto assets, citing significant risks of financial loss and violations of national law.
The ministry stated it would maintain coordination with law enforcement and other stakeholders to monitor similar platforms and prevent circumvention of the ban. This coordinated approach underscores a shift toward proactive surveillance of decentralized finance applications that mimic traditional betting mechanics. As regulatory bodies in Asia and beyond increasingly scrutinize the legal status of prediction markets, the operational viability of these platforms faces mounting pressure to adapt to local compliance frameworks or face permanent exclusion. Woofun AI analysis suggests that without clear regulatory distinctions between speculative trading and gambling, prediction markets will continue to encounter fragmented global access.