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Woofun AI reports that a broad technology selloff has disproportionately impacted crypto-focused firms, with Coinbase (COIN) and Circle (CRCL) shares falling 69% and 72% from their all-time highs. These drawdowns significantly exceed the declines seen in major technology peers, including Oracle (ORCL), Salesforce (CRM), Netflix (NFLX), and Palantir (PLTR), which have retreated between 48% and 57% from their peaks. In stark contrast, the large-cap S&P 500 Index has pulled back only 3.5% from its recent high, underscoring a widening divergence between digital asset equities and the broader US stock market.
The deeper driver behind this sector-wide weakness involves mounting fears that artificial intelligence advances could disrupt existing business models, a concern that has weighed heavily on tech valuations. While semiconductor stocks have generally maintained resilience despite volatility, crypto-related equities remain under sustained pressure due to broader digital asset market weakness and the uneven progress of comprehensive crypto market structure legislation in the United States. Negative sentiment intensified this week as Bitcoin fell below $60,000, extending its decline to more than 54% from its October peak.
Ether has similarly faced heavy selling pressure, recently dropping to around $1,500, which represents a roughly 69% decrease from last year's high. These bear market conditions have directly impacted corporate earnings, evidenced by Coinbase reporting first-quarter results that missed Wall Street expectations. Revenue for the company fell 21% from the previous quarter, and it posted a loss of $1.49 per share, contrasting sharply with analysts' expectations for a profit of $0.27 per share.
Woofun AI data shows that the prolonged downturn has prompted analysts at 21Shares to lower their expectations for 2026, citing significant underperformance of digital asset prices relative to underlying industry fundamentals. In its midyear outlook, 21Shares noted that institutional adoption continues to strengthen, particularly within stablecoins, tokenization, and prediction markets.
However, the asset manager argued that Bitcoin's four-year market cycle remains the dominant force driving crypto prices, despite growing institutional ownership helping to moderate drawdowns.
The report concludes that while institutional participation has altered the magnitude of corrections, it has not fundamentally changed the asset's cyclical behavior. "Bitcoin's cycle is evolving, but it has not broken yet," 21Shares stated, effectively walking back its earlier forecast that the four-year cycle had become obsolete. This retraction signals that market participants should anticipate continued volatility driven by established historical patterns rather than a structural break in price formation.