Bullish
Trader xm39 Expands Oil Longs Despite 40% Polymarket Losses
2026-08-10 17:52
Whale xm39 holds $1.1M in losing Iran invasion bets while adding $6.9M in crude oil longs and shorting NASDAQ, netting a slight loss.
Woofun AI reports that trader xm39 maintains a losing position on the 'United States will invade Iran by 2027' bet on Polymarket, with a 40.47% floating loss of $115,800 on 1.0992 million contracts. Simultaneously, the address opened 88,000 CL WTI long contracts worth $6.9127 million on Hyperliquid, achieving a 4.53% return, while holding short positions in XYZ100 contracts valued at $2.3976 million. The combined portfolio shows a net floating loss of approximately $1,258.
WOOFUN AI
Impact Assessment · Quick Read
This positioning reflects a high-conviction macro bet on geopolitical escalation, pairing rising energy costs with equity market weakness. The trader’s history of successful oil trades suggests strategic accumulation rather than speculative gambling. Such concentrated leverage could amplify volatility in both prediction markets and derivatives if geopolitical tensions shift unexpectedly.
Generated by WOOFUN AI · For reference only, not investment advice
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