Prediction Market Flip: 24h Change in Polymarket’s “BTC 8/12 Rise/Fall” Probability –38.50%

Polymarket data shows the probability of BTC rising by Aug 12 dropped 38.5% in 24h to 18%, signaling weakened short-term bullish expectations and cautious market sentiment.

Data from Polymarket shows that the current probability of a Bitcoin price change on “August 12” is 18.0%, a sharp drop of 38.5% within 24 hours. This significant decline in probability indicates that the market’s expectation of rising Bitcoin prices in the short term has weakened considerably, with funds shifting from bullish positions to a wait-and-see or bearish stance, reflecting a cautious sentiment in the current crypto market.