Bullish

Fed QT Resumption Likely as Rate Hike Probability Hits 32%

2026-07-29 23:29:15

BitMine chairman Tom Lee predicts Fed may restart quantitative tightening. Rate hike odds stand at 32% despite unchanged expectations, with Micron cited as undervalued.

Woofun AI reports that BitMine chairman Tom Lee stated the Federal Reserve may announce a resumption of quantitative tightening during its July 30 meeting. While markets anticipate an interest rate hold, federal funds futures indicate a 32% probability of a hike. Lee’s analysis of voting officials reveals three hawks, two doves, and Chairman Kevin Warsh maintaining a neutral stance. Lee argues that reduced policy visibility increases the impact of the announcement, potentially benefiting equity markets. He specifically highlighted Micron (MU) as undervalued, noting its 41% decline from peak levels and a P/E ratio of 5.372, well below its long-term average.

WOOFUN AI

Impact Assessment · Quick Read

The prospect of resumed quantitative tightening introduces liquidity headwinds that could pressure risk assets, particularly if coupled with a rate hike. However, the market's pricing of a 32% hike probability suggests uncertainty rather than consensus, which may limit immediate volatility. Lee’s focus on Micron implies a rotation into deeply discounted AI infrastructure plays, viewing current valuations as having priced in excessive pessimism despite broader macro risks.
Generated by WOOFUN AI · For reference only, not investment advice

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