
A lot of Dems are upset at this federal order from the CFTC telling Kalshi to ignore a state order, because of their personal views of prediction markets.
But this is important, as established federal authority is a matter for Congress and SCOTUS.
Just like we don’t want Texas to get to decide if HHS or FDA policy on abortion pills is legal in the state.
You cannot cede federal authority even on issues you don’t agree with.
It is an all or nothing precedent.
If New York thinks the CFTC is wrong, they must deal with it in the Supreme Court and nowhere else.
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Adam Cochran 强调 CFTC 对 Kalshi 的联邦管辖权优先于州令,类比 FDA 案例,指出必须维护联邦权威先例。若纽约州有异议应通过最高法院解决。这为预测市场及加密衍生品提供了明确的联邦监管框架,利好行业合规化与长期发展。
02Stance & Sentiment Analysis
03Market Impact Attribution
ETH / BTC / SP500 price action around tweet
ETHBTC
EVENT · Post published
1H Before
$1,914.52
20:20
At Tweet
$1,908.95
21:15
30MIN After
-0.20%
1H After
-0.64%
24H After
-0.97%
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