
正常情况下, 所谓的链上币股轧空,逻辑大概是(不讨论实际可行性):
1、Robinhood或其他合规发行方在链上发行代币化股票,价格与真实股票锚定;
2、某个Meme币与该代币化股票配对;
3、本来不持有该代币化股票的散户购买Meme币,带动作为底池的代币化股票价格上涨;
4、因为存在套利空间,做市商购买正股,并将正股转换,铸造出链上的代币化股票,使价格回锚;
5、在这个过程中,由于做市商购买正股的行为,可能带动正股价格上涨,从而产生轧空的可能性。
而今晚JINQIAN/FAMI的情况是:
1、不知名项目方在链上发行了FAMI代币,存在铸造权限,但完全无法确定是否合规,甚至池子都没锁。如果不是合规的RWA发行方,本质上只是一个同名的三无链上代币。
2、发行JINQIAN这个Meme币,与FAMI配对,池子较大。
3、由于FAMI公司本身市值极低,引发了链上的情绪,散户疯狂买入JINQIAN,带动作为底池的FAMI上涨。
4、部分散户思维更进一步,直接去买入FAMI正股,导致股价上涨。
典型的过程全错,结果全对。
有些类似的是当时Base早期的Meme币Bald,同样是没有锁池子,但是疯狂拉盘,最后撤池子收场,其实全程不存在什么确定性逻辑。
对于这种情况,只能自己判断是上涨空间*不作恶的概率更大,还是归零*作恶的概率更大。其实所有交易场景几乎都是这样的,只要有超额收益,就不存在百分百的确定性,这类项目对于大部分人而言就是确定性极低,但相应的也可能有几十倍的潜在收益。
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AI 速读
KOL 指出 JINQIAN/FAMI 案例虽出现类似轧空结果,但逻辑完全错误。FAMI 代币无合规背书、未锁池且具铸造权,本质为高风险空气币。此类交易确定性极低,归零风险远大于收益,警示投资者警惕“过程全错,结果全对”的幸存者偏差。
02立场与情绪分析
立场分析
−0.6
看空KOL 指出 JINQIAN/FAMI 案例虽出现类似轧空结果,但逻辑完全错误。FAMI 代币无合规背书、未锁池且具铸造权,本质为高风险空气币。此类交易确定性极低,归零风险远大于收益,警示投资者警惕“过程全错,结果全对”的幸存者偏差。
−0.6
看空 −1.0中立 0看多 +1.0
情绪强度+0.7
表达置信度+0.8
技术深度+0.9
主观程度+0.4
紧迫程度+0.6
观点独创性+0.8
03市场影响归因
None
推文前 1H
$77,324.55
22:40
推文发布
$77,370.19
23:40
推文后 30MIN
-0.02%
推文后 1H
-0.14%
推文后 24H
+4.64%
04类似观点 KOL
看空

A very Happy Thanksgiving salutation to all of our Great American Citizens and Patriots who have been so nice in allowing our Country to be divided, disrupted, carved up, murdered, beaten, mugged, and laughed at, along with certain other foolish countries throughout the World, for being “Politically Correct,” and just plain STUPID, when it comes to Immigration. The official United States Foreign population stands at 53 million people (Census), most of which are on welfare, from failed nations, or from prisons, mental institutions, gangs, or drug cartels. They and their children are supported through massive payments from Patriotic American Citizens who, because of their beautiful hearts, do not want to openly complain or cause trouble in any way, shape, or form. They put up with what has happened to our Country, but it’s eating them alive to do so! A migrant earning $30,000 with a green card will get roughly $50,000 in yearly benefits for their family. The real migrant population is much higher. This refugee burden is the leading cause of social dysfunction in America, something that did not exist after World War II (Failed schools, high crime, urban decay, overcrowded hospitals, housing shortages, and large deficits, etc.). As an example, hundreds of thousands of refugees from Somalia are completely taking over the once great State of Minnesota. Somalian gangs are roving the streets looking for “prey” as our wonderful people stay locked in their apartments and houses hoping against hope that they will be left alone. The seriously retarded Governor of Minnesota, Tim Walz, does nothing, either through fear, incompetence, or both, while the worst “Congressman/woman” in our Country, Ilhan Omar, always wrapped in her swaddling hijab, and who probably came into the U.S.A. illegally in that you are not allowed to marry your brother, does nothing but hatefully complain about our Country, its Constitution, and how “badly” she is treated, when her place of origin is a decadent, backward, and crime ridden nation, which is essentially not even a country for lack of Government, Military, Police, schools, etc. Even as we have progressed technologically, Immigration Policy has eroded those gains and living conditions for many. I will permanently pause migration from all Third World Countries to allow the U.S. system to fully recover, terminate all of the millions of Biden illegal admissions, including those signed by Sleepy Joe Biden’s Autopen, and remove anyone who is not a net asset to the United States, or is incapable of loving our Country, end all Federal benefits and subsidies to noncitizens of our Country, denaturalize migrants who undermine domestic tranquility, and deport any Foreign National who is a public charge, security risk, or non-compatible with Western Civilization. These goals will be pursued with the aim of achieving a major reduction in illegal and disruptive populations, including those admitted through an unauthorized and illegal Autopen approval process. Only REVERSE MIGRATION can fully cure this situation. Other than that, HAPPY THANKSGIVING TO ALL, except those that hate, steal, murder, and destroy everything that America stands for — You won’t be here for long!
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看空HI
This is textbook corruption. t.co/AS1pHNx91Z
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看空TH
The US Treasury market is in trouble. Both the executive and the legislature must summon the will to confront the underlying long-term problem and find ways to shrink borrowing
t.co/QkcctsSxOI
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看空TH
Wall Street is warning that more markets turmoil could lie ahead, after Friday’s selloff left investors few places to hide t.co/sLk7ZHJux6
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看空TU
Too many white men were supporting their families by driving trucks, so of course our leaders had to end that by importing unqualified foreigners. A lot of people have died in the process. Gord Magill is a trucker who saw it happen.
0:00 The Last American Cowboys and the War on Truckers
6:14 The Attempt to Replace American Workers With Foreigners
13:46 The Life of a Long-Haul Trucker
21:25 The Dangers of Truck Driving
24:59 The Human Trafficking Routes
33:05 Magill’s Most Dangerous Experiences While Trucking
36:42 How Did Magill Learn All of This?
39:23 The Freight Crisis
40:21 Is Trump Working on Fixing the Trucking Industry?
48:41 The Exploitation of the Electronic Logging Device
50:54 The ALP Heist
59:30 The Fight in Washington to Fix the Trucking Industry
1:02:19 How Do Truckers Entertain Themselves?
1:02:42 What’s Going on in Canada?
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看空9G
talk the talk but didn't walk the walk
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