Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Active

CryptoPre-MarketRelayFDV

Open 2026-02-10Ends 2028-01-01

Total Volume$19.67K+$163.28 · 24H

Open Interest$5.42K--

Candidate Tiers100 -> 9

Traders----

WTI Spot Price50%+7% · 08-03

$100M

50%+7%

#11

$300M

28.5%-2%

#33

$600M

27%+6.5%

#44

$700M

18.5%+0.5%

AI Quick Read

WOOFUN AI

Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch?Updated Aug 3, 2026 18:54 GMT+8

This betting market predicts whether the fully diluted valuation of the Relay governance token on its launch day (at 4 p.m. that night) will be higher than the value specified in the title. The current market favors a “YES” outcome with a 46% probability, indicating a relatively cautious wait-and-see attitude. The key factors to watch are the speed of retail adoption as projected for the token and the support provided by real-time market conditions; if it fails to quickly rise above the threshold, this event is likely to fail.

Prediction Probability Trend

Candidate Outcomes · Price Tiers

10 tiers

A tier settles YES if the highest price of any one-minute candle reaches it during April

Candidate TierProbability24HProbability DistributionVolumeOdds

$100M0

50%

+7%

$19.67K

YES 50¢NO 50¢

$300M1

28.5%

-2%

$3.24K

YES 28¢NO 72¢

$600M3

27%

+6.5%

$399.44

YES 27¢NO 73¢

$700M4

18.5%

+0.5%

$2.94K

YES 18¢NO 82¢

$500M2

18%

+0.5%

$9.07K

YES 18¢NO 82¢

$800M5

16.5%

$1.46K

YES 16¢NO 84¢

$900M6

11.2%

$1.59K

YES 11¢NO 89¢

10 candidate tiers · Total volume $247.00MOpen interest $2.04M · Each tier settles YES/NO independently

Market Rules & Background

Polymarket

No market rules.

Market Open Time2026-02-10 00:39:47

Settlement Date2028-01-01

Settlement Source--

Resolver--

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