Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

Active
token launchCryptoPre-MarketArc
Open 2026-05-12Ends 2028-01-01
Total Volume$8.47K+$7.09K · 24H
Open Interest$124.5K--
Candidate Tiers75 -> 4
Traders----
WTI Spot Price60.2%-1% · 08-03
#16
December 31, 2027
60.2%-10.1%
5
June 30, 2027
51%-1%
#64
December 31, 2026
27.5%+0.5%
#53
September 30, 2026
2.6%0%
01

AI Quick Read

WOOFUN AI
Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?Updated Aug 3, 2026 19:04 GMT+8

This odds prediction focuses on whether Arc’s official team will officially launch a tradable management token by the specified date. The current market outlook suggests a roughly 64% probability of success, indicating a high likelihood of the token being launched. The key factor lies in tangible progress announced by Arc’s official team; mere announcements are not sufficient to result in a “Yes” outcome—it is necessary to confirm that the token possesses public transfer and trading capabilities.

02

Prediction Probability Trend

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03

Candidate Outcomes · Price Tiers

7 tiers
A tier settles YES if the highest price of any one-minute candle reaches it during April
Candidate TierProbability24HProbability DistributionVolumeOdds
December 31, 20276
60.2%
-10.1%
$3.56K
YES 60¢NO 40¢
June 30, 20275
51%
-1%
$8.47K
YES 51¢NO 49¢
December 31, 20264
27.5%
+0.5%
$129.83K
YES 27¢NO 73¢
September 30, 20263
2.6%
0%
$94.44K
YES NO 98¢
December 31, 20250
0%
0%
$16.45K
YES NO 100¢
March 31, 20261
0%
+0.7%
$51.84K
YES NO 100¢
June 30, 20262
0%
-0.1%
$117.44K
YES NO 100¢
7 candidate tiers · Total volume $247.00MOpen interest $2.04M · Each tier settles YES/NO independently
04

Market Rules & Background

Polymarket

No market rules.

Market Open Time2026-05-12 21:45:23
Settlement Date2028-01-01
Settlement Source--
Resolver--

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