
For now, I am giving this cyclical (and secular) bull the benefit of the doubt, assuming (hoping?) that the stellar earnings momentum is not about to mean-revert. I suspect that the “melt-up” phase of this bull (since April 2025) may have ended in early June, but perhaps that is just a pause in the momentum during the seasonally weakest timeframe (July-October). I’ll stick to my 60/20/20 playbook, which has held up quite well, even though it diversifies away from the mega cap theme.
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Jurrien Timmer 对当前牛市持谨慎乐观态度,认为自2025年4月以来的“熔涨”阶段可能已结束,目前处于季节性疲软期的暂停。他坚持60/20/20资产配置策略,分散大型股风险,假设盈利动能不会立即均值回归。
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中立Jurrien Timmer 对当前牛市持谨慎乐观态度,认为自2025年4月以来的“熔涨”阶段可能已结束,目前处于季节性疲软期的暂停。他坚持60/20/20资产配置策略,分散大型股风险,假设盈利动能不会立即均值回归。
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